Iran Israel US War

Lots of geopolitical reasons why American bases / foreign base is set in countries like UAE (Dubai) Qatar, these are soverign nation state but they are being attacked, airspace closed and tourism closed

Understand different perspectives will have different ideas – CBC news focused on the death of a 102 year old over the tens of hundreds of school girls

while many news media will say the IRGC is fractured with leader gone, it is a deep rooted institution that can have multiple heads. It is a large population with 92 mil

Theocracy becomes a guide for the country, with controlling systems

Some believe Reza Pahlavi would bring westernization and bring something aligned to US and Israel interests. This diaspora acting in support are largely those who escaped during Islamic revolution in the 70s. Like Cubans in Miami were pro US sanctions in Cuba since they escaped Castro's regime. Although their opinion may matter less than actual Cubans who suffer the consequences.

The US can appear to be the hero, but usually don't care about development, only own interests.

Does not pose an immediate threat to domestic soil.

Canada generally supportive. Some Canadians may be disappointed especially after Carney's speech. SO for him to support an internationally obstruction of law, and can be seen as contradictory to his words.

If war is prolonged, those countries that have the US naval bases may push for the US to back out

Russia has been weakened due to its prolonged war in Ukraine

Formally entering the war is quite unlikely for either China or Russia, likely to continue selling arms to Iran or any militia groups protecting their interests

Right now is a regional war, if they did it would become WW3

Instead of having actual leader, they have military rule. Quite a likely possibility for Iran

 

March 5

Spain not allowing US access into its airspace, potentially for not supporting the war effort (didn't support the Israel Palestine conflict), yet also must consider that they don't want civilians to get harmed – the Middle Eastern countries (GCC countries – Gulf Cooperation Council) that have US military bases must pay a price, where if the US goes to war with a middle eastern country they can be put on the radar.

 

April 7-8:
John Meirsheimer

Realist + Neoliberal perspective

Iran is not an enemy, putting the rest of the world in danger

Even if US loses they do not lose much power, only ability to project power (think vietnam)

 

The US is being an irrational actor. Other superpowers like China can appear rational with economic and military might. China may be able to dictate multilateralism